U.N. IPCC Report

The report is actually a collection of hundreds of studies done by hundreds of scientists. It is much more like a PHD Theses than a single scientific theory. The combined theories were “accepted by consensus of governments of the world.”

Some good news is found in Report #2, our ozone may be coming back.

“The trend of greater and greater depletion of global stratospheric ozone observed during the 1980s and 1990s is no longer occurring; however, it is not yet clear whether these recent changes are indicative of ozone recovery.”

Three of the top four Kyoto Treaty gasses are down.

— The global mean concentration of CH4 (Methane Gas) in 2005 was 1,774 ppb, contributing an RF of +0.48 [±0.05] W m–2. Over the past two decades, CH4 growth rates in the atmosphere have generally decreased. The cause of this is not well understood. However, this decrease and the negligible long-term change in its main sink (the hydroxyl radical OH) imply that total CH4 emissions are not increasing.

(Radiative forcing (RF)1 is a concept used for quantitative comparisons of the strength of different human and natural agents in causing climate change.)

— The Montreal Protocol gases (chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs), and chlorocarbons) as a group contributed +0.32 [±0.03] W m–2 to the RF in 2005. Their RF peaked in 2003 and is now beginning to decline.

The only “man made” greenhouse gas left is CO2.

CO2 is .038% of our atmosphere. The increase in CO2, according to NASA Facts on line, has been 10% over the last 50 years. If man is responsible for all the increase, man is responsible for 10% of .038% or .0038%. (That’s less than a nickel compared to a $1,000 bill.)

The majority of greenhouse gas is water vapor. The IPCC Report had trouble associating that with human activities.

• Water vapour is the most abundant and important greenhouse gas in the atmosphere. However, human activities have only a small direct influence on the amount of atmospheric water vapour. Indirectly, humans have the potential to affect water vapour substantially by changing climate. For example, a warmer atmosphere contains more water vapour...Other potential human causes of water vapour increase that could contribute an RF are poorly understood.

The IPCC Report redefined the start of the Industrial Era to 1750 A.D. in an attempt to better understand man’s contribution to climate change.

But, IPCC Report #1 explains some of the problems with their models.

On page 118 it states, “Comparing different models is not sufficient, however. Using multiple simulations from a single model (the so-called Monte Carlo, or ensemble, approach) has proved a necessary and complementary approach to assess the stochastic nature of the climate system…These ensemble simulations clearly indicated that even with a single model a large spread in the climate projections can be obtained.”

On page 114 it states, “It is somewhat unsettling that the results of a complex climate model can be so drastically altered by substituting one reasonable cloud parametrization for another, thereby approximately replicating the overall inter-model rage of sensitivities.”

One question the CO2/Greenhouse Gas/Global Warming Theory doesn’t answer, “Why are the Polar Icecaps melting where the greenhouse gasses are the thinnest?”

All greenhouse gasses are in the Troposphere. The Troposphere extends from the Earth out about 14 miles at the equator and 4 miles at the poles during summer. The Troposphere at the poles during winter is indistinct. (Supports the “oceans exhale when they’re hot” concept. When the oceans exhale, they exhale water vapor and CO2. The oceans are the #1 producer of CO2.)

Why are the Polar Icecaps melting where the greenhouse gasses are the thinnest?