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A Comprehensive Look at Global Warming Fallacies
Scientific Proof: No Global Warming in Arizona
(This is a comprehensive report I delivered to Sen. Kyl &
McCain's offices.)
Introduction
This is not the first rodeo for this cowboy.
Scientific Proof
No Global Warming for last decade
There is “Heat Island Effect”
Global Warming & Heat Island Effect are causal
opposites
U.N. IPCC Report - Humanized
U.N. IPCC Report
The terminal flaws
Greenhouse Gas rate of increase peaked in 1998
Methane has been diminishing for a decade
Climate Change – simplified
Daily cycles
Annual cycles
500 year cycles
The Critical Information overlooked in the U.N.
IPCC Report
Our Planet “breaths” every year.
The Physics of Alternative Fuels
If there’s no “R” it’s not and “I”, it’s an “E”
If there’s no Return, it’s not an Investment.
It’s an Expense.
HyBoFuel - The Game Changer
Excitement in Arizona’s Future
The “Olsen House”
Dual Plan Attics®
EvAAC®
The “McEwen Shop”
Introduction
I’ve always
been “one of those”. In middle school and high school I was a “mentally
gifted minor”. I scored in the top 5% on the High School National
Physics exam, without studying. I couldn’t talk or relate to “normal”
people. Now I have learned that my greatest asset, and detriment, is
that I am functionally dyslexic. I see things differently. Normal
thought is like an electric train. Dyslexic thought is like a pin-ball
game.
In 1972, I
was a senior at U.C. Irvine. Greenhouse Gas/Global Cooling was the
threat. I drank that Kool Aid and invested my treasure into solving the
problem. In 1972 I built a car that met 1986 air pollution
requirement. Why? I was told it couldn’t be done.
In 1993, I
was the maintenance man on 241 condos in California. We had a garbage
problem. So I created the best multi-family recycling program in
California. It was a business decision. It made good business sense
that if I diverted half the garbage through recycling, I’d save half on
the garbage bill. That was a $25,000/year savings. That answered the
critical question. When trying to change human behavior, the critical
question is, “What’s in it for me”. The answer, in this case, was
saving $10/month in HOA dues. Recycling enough newspaper and cardboard
to save 50,000 trees was a side effect.
The passion
required to create and implement the recycling program got me labeled
“The Recycling Maniac” by a Waste Management spokeswoman.
I
originally turned on
www.environmentalmaniac.com because of Compact Florescent Lights.
CFLs are great. BUT, I think it is environmentally irresponsible to
promote or distribute a product that becomes a bio-hazard without
notifying the consumer of the hazard. I just want consumers to know
what the
www.epa.gov/cflcleanup has to say. Why? Because CFLs contain 75
times more Mercury than fresh tuna. No, you’re not going to eat the
CFL. But 30% of the Mercury is atomized. You inhale it. For small
children and pregnant woman it is critical. Mercury goes straight
though the placenta and amplifies in the fetus.
In fact, I
packed a burned out CFL when I moved form Nor Cal to Estrella. That’s
what I do. I was the Recycling Maniac. I keep burned out CFLs (&
batteries) in a bag next to where I keep new bulbs. When I moved, I had
a burned out CFL so I packed it with the new bulbs and recycled it at a
Goodyear recycling day.
The
Mercury in CFLs is bad; but no where near as bad as he Mercury emitted
into our atmosphere from processing gold. Gold processing emits 20
times more Mercury than all the coal power plants in the U.S. combined.
Climate Change comes and goes. Mercury is forever. Mercury is the only
element that sinks to the bottom of a landfill and yet can
evaporate.
When I got
to Arizona, the first thing I did was to build the most technologically
advanced backyard structure in the valley. I was going to go into
production with my #2 son. But, when he graduated high school, he went
to visit #1 son who was in the Air Force and stationed in Germany. #2
called from Germany and said he was joining the Marine Corps.
I put
everything in storage.
Then I
decided to add the new technology to my house. I continued researching
radiant energy and radiant barriers. Half the sun’s energy is radiant
and Phoenix gets 40% more radiant energy than Miami. We get more
radiant energy because 95% of all Greenhouse Gas is water vapor and
Phoenix is a dry heat. The onequadrillion.com site has over 2,000 pages
of research and over 100 tests that I have personally conducted. The
results are impressive.
I’ve reduce
the air conditioning usage on my house by 50%. I am saving 7,000 kWh
and $900 a year. That’s the energy equivalent of 4 barrels of oil.
Dual Plane
Attic® and EvAAC – Evaporation Aided Air Conditioning came out of the
research and testing. I added both to a “Beazer” tract home that was
rebuilt this winter after being gutted by fire. We are saving over 60%
on the air conditioning.
THAT IS AN
IMPRESSIVE SAVINGS!
I will
share more excitement in the last section of this report, “Excitement in
Arizona’s Future”.
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Scientific Proof: No Global Warming
in Phoenix for the last decade
There
hasn’t been a “warming trend” in Arizona for the last decade.
Scientific proof can be found on the Atlas Testing web site (www.atlas-mts.com).
Atlas Testing is a global leader in Weathering Testing and Weathering
Test Equipment. They have a test facility 30 miles north of Phoenix
where they record daily temperatures. Those temperatures are posted on
their site. Anyone can look them up and do the analysis.
Phoenix has
had “Heat Island Effect” (ASU studies).
The easiest
way to understand Heat Island Effect is to walk to the middle of your
street after sundown. The asphalt is hotter than the gravel because it
absorbed more radiant energy and the street’s mass retains the heat.
Heat Island Effect is more a function of the sun’s radiant energy than
ambient temperatures. The challenge here is that increased Heat Island
Effect is more an indicator of increased sun activity, reducing
greenhouse gasses or both. But that’s another story.
The
significance of this discovery is that it provides proof that the Global
Warming measurements in Phoenix are actually measuring Heat Island
Effect, not Global Warming. This same circumstance has been theorized
in many other testing locations. We have proof.
I made this
discovery while researching for the Dual Plane Attic project. At the
time, there was speculation that our planet’s warming was due to the
sun. Understand that half the sun’s energy is radiant. I thought I
could use the data collect by Atlas Testing to document the effect of
the sun. I found no correlation in my radiant energy analysis. What I
did find is that Phoenix receives 40% more radiant energy per square
foot than Miami. That discovery was the impetus to continue looking for
a cost-effective solution to reflecting radiant energy in homes and
businesses.
Not finding
any indication of increasing radiant energy, I then analyzed the
temperature data on the site. Not only wasn’t there any warming, there
wasn’t even any “trending”.
Then I was
confused by the Global Warming claims and read the 2007 U.N. IPCC
report.
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The U.N. IPCC Reports - Humanized
The U.N.
reports are 25% analysis and 75% projections of gloom and doom.
I love
science. But let me humanize the Global Warming Report for those who
don’t.
If a 10
year old boy accidently throws a ball on the roof of his house, and if
he climbs on the near-by wall to gain access to the tall tree
overhanging the roof, and if he climbs from the tree to the roof to get
his ball, and if he slips and falls head-first into a bush next to his
house, and if he is knocked unconscious, the paramedics might be called,
who might need to take him to the hospital, where they might need to
perform a very long surgery, and there might be a long battle for life,
and the boy may die. And the medical bills may force his single mom to
lose her home forcing her to move back in with her parents, making her
commute to work longer, causing her old car to break down, making her
miss work and finally losing her job. It would be a tragedy.
But if the
boy’s ball rolls off the roof all by itself, the rest of the “if’s”
don’t matter.
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U.N. IPCC Fourth Assessment
Report
The U.N.
IPCC Report falls apart quickly. Working Group I Report “The Physical
Science Basis” illustrates some of the holes in the Global Warming
Theories. The first is the assumed starting date of industrial man’s
influence on climate: 1750. That was the ending date of the Little Ice
Age. It is a hard stretch to say George Washington lived in the
industrial era.
There are
scientific inconsistencies throughout the first two reports. Then there
are the facts that eliminate the solidity of the report. First,
understand that 95% of Greenhouse Gas is water vapor. Then read Working
Group I Report, Page 114:
It is somewhat unsettling that the results of a complex climate model
can be so drastically altered by substituting one reasonable cloud
parametrization for another, thereby approximately replicating the
overall intermodal range of sensitivities.
Another
“death nail” is found later in the same report. But first answer a
simple question, “Is Monte Carlo a world renowned center for science or
gambling?” Read Page 118:
Comparing different models is not sufficient, however. Using multiple
simulations from a single model (the so-called Monte Carlo, or ensemble,
approach) has proved a necessary and complementary approach to assess
the stochastic nature of the climate system. The first ensemble climate
change simulations with global GCMs used a set of different initial and
boundary conditions (Cubasch et al., 1994; Barnett, 1995). Computational
constraints limited early ensembles to a relatively small number of
samples (fewer than 10). These ensemble simulations clearly indicated
that even with a single model a large spread in the
climate
projections can be obtained.
There is
renewed confusion “on the Hill” about Methane.
The idea of
regulating belches and farts is back. That’s because there’s confusion
in the U.N. IPCC Report. Methane is significant because it reflects 22
times more radiant energy than CO2. But, according to Report 2, Methane
has been diminishing for almost a decade. What’s the reports
explanation? – Page 142:
“The
reasons for the decrease in the atmospheric CH4 growth rate and
the implications for future changes in its atmospheric burden are
not understood (Prather et al., 2001) but are clearly related to
changes in the imbalance between CH4 sources and sinks.”
When a
scientific report states that they don’t understand, it means “They
don’t understand.” In normal science, it would mean a “do over”…write a
new theory that is supported by the new facts. In Global Warming
Theory, it means “Pass legislation fast before the people find out.”
If you read
the remainder of the report, you will find great scientistx trying hard
to support the theory that “man” is responsible for Climate Change.
Getting the phrase “Monte Carlo” past the editors is just one example.
BUT THE
U.N. IPCC REPORT IS NOT CONCLUSIVE.
WORSE,
CURRENT CLIMATE CONDITIONS ARE CONTRARY TO THE PROJECTIONS.
There had
to be a missing piece. I had gone through this twice: Greenhouse
Gas/Global Cooling & Greenhouse Gas/Global Warming.
The missing
piece is so simple I am surprised no one else has discovered it.
First, let
me simplify Climate Change. Then I will show you the missing piece.
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to the top)
Climate Change - simplified
Every day
there’s Global Warming.
Every night
there’s Global Cooling.
Every
summer there’s Global Warming.
Every
winter there’s Global Cooling.
There are
also Global Warming and Cooling cycles over 100’s of years.
1,000 years
ago Greenland was green and there were vineyards in the north of London.
It was know
as the Medieval Warm Period. Before Al Gore, it was also called
“Climate Optimum”, the optimum climate for man in Europe where most
humanity survived.
500 years
ago was the “Little Ice Age”. The Little Ice Ace was spawned by 5 major
volcanoes in a 10 year period. Glaciers wiped out entire villages in
Europe. England changed staples from wheat to potatoes. Life was hard.
The problem
with cycles of 100’s of years is that humans can not relate.
So drop
back to the yearly cycle and add a little talked about part of
Greenhouse Gas.
This is
the critical insight overlooked by the U.N. IPCC Reports.
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The Critical Information
overlooked in the U.N. IPCC Report
Greenhouse
Gas is not evenly distributed around our planet.
All
Greenhouse Gas is in the Troposphere.
The
Troposphere is 12 miles thick at the equator and zero to 4 miles thick
at the poles.
During the
summer, the oceans warm, ‘exhale’ greenhouse gas, and there is 4 miles
of Troposphere at the poles. During the winter, the oceans cool,
‘inhale’ greenhouse gas, and the Troposphere is indistinguishable at the
poles. That is why there are Northern Lights on the North Pole every
winter.
Once we
realize that our planet “breathes” every year to adjust to seasonal
changes, it’s easier to understand that it also “breathes” to adjust to
our sun’s temperaments. When the sun belches, our oceans warm, exhale
greenhouse gas, to protect our planet. That includes us. When the sun
mellows, the oceans cool and inhale greenhouse gas, so we don’t freeze.
This
breathing cycle is also interesting because it means that the Polar Ice
Caps are not melting because of greenhouse gas. Greenhouse gas is the
thinnest at the poles.
This new
insight also explains why the famous Ice Core Samples have extremely low
Greenhouse Gas levels. The samples are from winter, when the greenhouse
gasses are the thinnest. And from the far north, where the gasses are
thinner still.
This also
explains why the sun’s radiation was not seen as the cause of Global
Warming. The oceans exhale greenhouse gas to protect the planet, which
reduces radiation readings.
We are
still talking about “Carbon Credits”. They started with the 4 Kyoto
Protocol Treaty Greenhouse Gasses. But 3 of the 4, according to the
U.N. Report, are diminishing. So now we’re supposed to regulate CO2
(CO2’s rate of growth peaked in 1998), call it “Carbon Credit” and
forget about the major green house gasses that started this whole thing?
The reason
3 of the 4 gasses are decreasing is because they are the heavier
molecules They are being inhaled first. But pay attention to current
CO2 levels and not levels from last decade, and you’ll sleep better at
night.
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The Physics of Alternative Fuels
We all have
different gifts. Two of mine have always been math and science. I have
proven success creating environmental solutions that produce a
return-on-investment. Often I forget
that
“normal people” don’t see what is obvious to me.
Let me
simplify.
If there’s
no “R”, it’s not and “I”, it’s an “E”.
If there’s
no Return, it’s not and Investment, it’s an Expense.
We keep
“Expensing” into alternative fuels before anyone even understands the
physics.
Bio Fuels
The physics
of fuels. Diesel has 138,000 BTUs of energy per gallon; gas 125,000
BTUs, natural gas 90,000 BTUs, bio-fuel 80,000 BTUs and a car battery
has 3,500 BTUs. Natural gas needs to sell for 35% less than diesel to
yield the same energy per dollar. For Bio-fuel it’s 42% less. And it
requires 40 car batteries to yield the same energy as a gallon of
diesel.
Replacing
imported oil with wind power is a noble idea.
But it will
require 2.04 Trillion Dollars to buy the wind turbines. We import 3.6
Billion barrels of oil a year. The BOE (Barrel of oil equivalent) is 58
Million BTU per barrel. That means that we import 208 Quadrillion BTU’s
of energy. A 600 KW wind generator produces 1.5 Million KW per year
(running at the World Wide average of 28% efficiency). 1 kWh is 3,412
BTUs. A 600 kWh wind generator produces 51.2 Billion BTUs of energy a
year. It would require 4.1 million generators to replace imported oil.
The average cost for a 600 kW generator is $500,000. The cost for just
the wind generators would be 2.04 Trillion Dollars. Double that to
include updating the grid. Then figure out how to pay to replace all
the cars…
Replacing
imported oil with solar.
First,
solar doesn’t like the heat of Arizona. It loses 30% of its efficiency
during summer.
I just
checked “sunnyportal” and a 4 kWh system I’m monitoring produced 700 kWh
in May. To reach the BOE yield from oil imports, we will need 854
Million solar systems at a cost of $42,000 each for a total price of 36
Trillion Dollars. Considering the Government and Power Companies rebate
half, the Federal Government only needs 18 Trillion Dollars to replace
imported oil with solar. The grid, however, wouldn’t need as much work
because solar can provide localized power. But we still need to replace
all those cars…
Now think
differently.
Crude oil
is refined into diesel, gas and solvent by injecting Hydrogen to make
the heavy
Carbon molecules more volatile (Hydro cracking).
Gas is
refined to burn at a14-18% efficiency. That means that 82-86% of the
energy in gas
goes out
the tailpipe as pollution.
By in
injecting Hydrogen in the intake of any internal combustion engine, the
burn efficiency
can reach
90%. That increases the engine efficiency by 20-40% and drops pollution
to
practically
zero.
This is not
theory. These are the results of our early testing of the MagDrive
System.
MagDrive IS
state-of-the-art. We are calling it Hydrogen Boosted Fuel, HyBoFuel, in
Arizona.
We are
30-60 days away from certification of our test trucks. We will then
have our results
confirmed
by Arizona DOT. Then the MagDrive factory will install 6 systems on any
6
vehicles
DOT chooses. After a 6 month evaluation by DOT, MagDrive will enter
into contract
with
Arizona Correctional Industries to manufacture the MagDrive systems for
all State,
County and
City vehicles.
This is a
“Game Changer”.
If oil is
no longer evil, if oil is no longer the problem, then it’s the solution.
We could
“drill baby drill” to gain our independence from foreign oil and use the
tax revenues from the new production to pay down our National debt.
We will
know in early 2010.
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Excitement in Arizona’s Future
What would
happen if new homes used 60% less energy on air conditioning?
What if the
same were true for new businesses?
What if
most existing homes and business could save 35% on air conditioning?
It’s all
happening.
The “Olsen
House” (www.theolsenhouse.com)
This was a
standard track home built by Beazer. It was gutted by fire and rebuilt
with a Dual Plane Attic® and EvAAC®. The first test video documented a
53% savings in electricity on a 98 degree day. Now that summer is
finally here, we will continue testing. It will surpass a 60% savings
in air conditioning vs. the same exact tract home down the street.
These new construction details yield a 50% ROI. And for the
environmentalists, the Olsen house is saving the energy equivalent of 4
barrels of oil.
Dual Plan
Attics® (www.dualplaneattics.com)
Most people
understand dual-pane windows. Dual Plane Attics® is equally
revolutionary. There are two “planes” of insulation: the standard R-30
on the ceiling and double/bubble, foil-foil on the rafters with full
soffit and ridge venting. The attic stays ambient temperature or below
and the roof sheeting stays ambient. Initial testing on Dual Plane
Attics® documented a 25% savings in air conditioning costs yielding a
30% ROI.
EvAAC® (www.evaac.com)
Evaporation
Aided Air Conditioning. EvAAC® saves 35% on air conditioning costs.
EvAAC® is like an automated swamp cooler that surrounds most existing
air-conditioner compressors. Air conditioners are designed around SEER
(Seasonal Energy Efficiency Rating). SEER design and testing is done at
95 degrees outside, 75 degrees inside. The hotter it gets, the less
efficient air conditioners become. By pre-cooling the air entering the
compressor, the air conditioner is more efficient and uses less energy.
Pre-cooling is not new. What’s new is a System designed, tested and
built in Arizona for Arizonians. In fact, EvAAC® is being built by
Arizona Correctional Industries and a test system is on the roof of
Phoenix West Prison.
The “McEwen
Shop
The Olsen
House was “proof of concept” for residential housing. The McEwen Shop
is a 4,000 sq. ft. shop where we are installing the commercial version
of a Dual Plane Attic® and Dual Plane Walls. The baseline temp in the
shop on June 26th was 135 degrees. Our goal is 86 degrees.
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Conclusion:
I do not
know if we can stop ‘Cap and Trade’.
If it would
have past last decade, they could have taken credit for the cooling
trend we’re in.
But they
didn’t. And they are using decade old information and “Heat Island” to
support their argument.
I am not
against an energy tax. It would be good for all my businesses.
But I am
embarrassed that it’s all blamed on Climate Change/Global Warming.
If I am
“One in a Million”, that means there are 13 million just like me in
China.
There are
scientists all over this world smarter than I am.
And I am
sure they are just as embarrassed.
The answer
to our pollution problems hasn’t changed for the 37 years I’ve been
paying attention. Find the products or services that are good for the
environment and yield a respectable ROI. Promote them.
False
science and false economy always yield false results.
I want to
close with the four words that will be useless later, “I told you so.”
Chris
Slotten
The
Environmental Maniac
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