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The Cap and Trade bill
made it though the House along Party lines. Like the
Stimulus Bill, no one read it. But the Health Care Bill
was published and read before it could be passed. The
ensuing debates are consuming immense amounts of
political capital.
The biggest challenge in the Health Care debate is how
to pay for it. Americans may not be PHD mathematicians,
but they know that there is no such thing as a free
lunch. If healthcare cost the Nation $2.2 trillion
dollars in 2007, and it only covered 85% of the 300
million residents, then insuring the 10% - 15% uninsured
will cost $220 - $330 billion. That’s $2.2 - $3.3
trillion over 10 years. That’s a lot of money.
If the Healthcare debate forces the Senate to read the
Cap and Trade bill, their will be challenges.
Cap and Trade has had problems redefining it self. In
1997 Global Warming was the challenge and the Kyoto
Protocol gasses were the cause. ‘Carbon footprint’ was
the measurement of the impact of all four Protocol
gasses and all four were going to be ‘Capped’ and
‘Traded’.
Things changed with the 2007 United Nations
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Reports. The
rate of growth of greenhouse gasses diminished. Methane
had a negative growth rate for most of this decade. The
Report’s official response, ““The reasons for the
decrease in the atmospheric CH4 (Methane Gas) growth
rate and the implications for future changes in its
atmospheric burden are not understood (Prather et al.,
2001) but are clearly related to changes in the
imbalance between CH4 sources and sinks.”
In science, ‘not understood’ means the outcome differs
from the theory. The challenge is compounded by the fact
that 2008 was one of the coldest year of the decade, the
current year is colder and even the New York Times
recently published an article confirming that there’s no
warming, in fact, there may be cooling.
There is an attempt to re-label Global Warming to
Climate Change. The U.N. Report is called Climate
Change, but the contents focus on global warming. There
was an attempt to explain the colder winters and the new
snowpack on the glaciers as, ‘Global Warming means the
summers get warmer and the winters get cooler.’
Unfortunately, this summer is disproving that theory.
The scientific models don’t project the current trends.
But the Government is broke. Foreign governments are
reluctant to loan the trillions of dollars needed.
Taxing the rich didn’t work for California and it’s not
working for the Federal Government. There may be a
National energy tax, just to keep the lights on.
The problem is, if the energy tax is used to pay current
operating expenses, it can’t be used to offset the costs
of alternative energies. Social Security and Medicare
taxes are great examples of what happens when specific
tax revenue is used for general expenses. Solar, wind
and bio-fuels are not cost effective. They require
massive Government and Power Company rebates to offset
the costs. Those offsets are not an investment. If there
is no ‘R’, it’s not an ‘I’; it’s an ‘E’. If there is no
Return, it’s not and Investment. It’s an Expense…and
everyone is broke.
As in the 70’s, when the Government created a ‘Misery
Index’ to measure the misery of the population, if the
environmental movement is going to survive, it is going
to be because of individuals who do much more than their
share. It will be because of environmental products that
are so cost effective that they become standard. And
maybe, just maybe, there will be a paradigm shift among
the masses who learn that happiness is independent of
‘stuff’.
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